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Red88
999217.5
393243.1
74430.7
Blue77
5959.4
832422.9
80132.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041650501502002503008877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+21Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
10Coral scored#9
35Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
6Processor points6
20Net points16
26Algae points22
61Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
88Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3932
#11
43.10.4
49.749.3
Auto11.7
Teleop27.2
End4.2
blue by 16.3
59
#3
59.44.4
71.266.8
Auto6.8
Teleop43.7
End8.9
Second
744
#9
30.70.4
31.130.6
Auto2.3
Teleop26.1
End2.2
blue by 2.1
801
#22
32.84.4
46.642.2
Auto7.5
Teleop23.9
End1.4
Third
9992
#10
17.50.7
10.910.2
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End0.2
blue by 5.4
8324
#14
22.94.4
22.117.7
Auto4.1
Teleop16.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed50%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned