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Red58
190244.7
99914.2
805710.5
Blue45
999518.1
99935.7
581612.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118230501001502005845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
13Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +3
8Coral scored#8
27Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
41Total teleop38
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#4
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
58Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.71.5
57.455.9
Auto8.3
Teleop32.4
End4.0
red by 26.6
9995
#15
18.10.6
10.310.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.9
End3.2
Second
8057
#21
10.51.6
14.512.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End3.5
blue by 1.5
5816
#24
12.00.4
17.117.5
Auto6.1
Teleop6.1
End-0.2
Third
9991
#20
4.22.4
8.05.6
Auto1.2
Teleop1.6
End1.2
blue by 1.5
9993
#26
5.70.6
11.812.5
Auto-1.5
Teleop7.0
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed9%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed