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Red52
527610.8
23347.1
402410.4
Blue41
74317.6
2133.6
215210.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95590501505241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+23Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points4
19Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +14
6Coral scored#4
21Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
31Total teleop17
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
52Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#16
47.12.0
54.252.3
Auto8.4
Teleop35.6
End3.2
red by 13.6
21
#5
33.61.3
33.131.9
Auto7.9
Teleop17.9
End7.7
Second
10.82.0
14.112.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End0.1
red by 0.5
2152
#17
10.21.3
16.815.5
Auto0.6
Teleop8.3
End1.4
Third
4024
#13
10.42.2
13.110.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End2.4
red by 2.8
7431
#23
7.61.3
9.98.7
Auto1.9
Teleop4.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned