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Red124
393243.1
23347.1
74430.7
Blue158
7918.9
190244.7
5959.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361296080100120160180124158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+32
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points23
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +22
21Coral scored#20
76Coral points72
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#5
6Processor points24
12Net points20
18Algae points44
94Total teleop116
Reef
8L4#10
8L3#8
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
124Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#16
47.10.1
47.147.1
Auto8.4
Teleop35.6
End3.2
blue by 12.3
59
#3
59.40.8
58.659.5
Auto6.8
Teleop43.7
End8.9
Second
3932
#11
43.10.1
43.043.1
Auto11.7
Teleop27.2
End4.2
blue by 1.6
44.70.8
43.944.7
Auto8.3
Teleop32.4
End4.0
Third
744
#9
30.70.1
30.630.7
Auto2.3
Teleop26.1
End2.2
red by 11.8
79
#19
18.90.8
18.119.0
Auto5.7
Teleop8.6
End4.6