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Red114
7918.9
190244.7
5959.4
Blue106
8639.2
80132.8
2133.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138115050100200250300114106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+2Teleop
+10Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
2Coral scored#4
11Coral points18
20Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +9
15Coral scored#15
54Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
6Processor points6
20Net points12
26Algae points18
80Total teleop71
Reef
6L4#9
3L3#5
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#23
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points2
114Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#3
59.40.2
58.858.6
Auto6.8
Teleop43.7
End8.9
red by 20.2
86
#4
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto9.0
Teleop22.7
End7.5
Second
44.70.2
44.143.9
Auto8.3
Teleop32.4
End4.0
red by 11.1
21
#5
33.60.0
33.633.6
Auto7.9
Teleop17.9
End7.7
Third
79
#19
18.90.2
18.318.1
Auto5.7
Teleop8.6
End4.6
blue by 13.9
801
#22
32.80.0
32.832.8
Auto7.5
Teleop23.9
End1.4