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Red170
406546.2
99935.7
17973.9
Blue117
159233.4
832422.9
999217.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145620100200250300170117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+41Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points23
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +45
26Coral scored#17
93Coral points60
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
125Total teleop80
Reef
11L4#11
5L3#4
8L2#4
6L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
170Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#2
73.91.1
71.672.7
Auto12.6
Teleop51.2
End10.2
red by 40.5
33.41.0
32.233.2
Auto4.3
Teleop20.9
End8.3
Second
46.21.1
45.046.0
Auto12.0
Teleop28.3
End5.9
red by 23.3
8324
#14
22.91.0
21.922.9
Auto4.1
Teleop16.9
End2.0
Third
9993
#26
5.71.7
2.54.1
Auto-1.5
Teleop7.0
End0.0
blue by 11.8
9992
#10
17.51.5
15.617.1
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End0.2