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Red101
581612.0
190244.7
5959.4
Blue153
393243.1
23347.1
74430.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291306080100120140160101153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+38
Endgame+52
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +24
18Coral scored#26
63Coral points93
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
83Total teleop107
Reef
7L4#10
6L3#8
6L2#8
2L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points0
101Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#3
59.40.3
58.358.0
Auto6.8
Teleop43.7
End8.9
red by 12.3
233
#16
47.10.8
45.446.3
Auto8.4
Teleop35.6
End3.2
Second
44.70.3
43.643.3
Auto8.3
Teleop32.4
End4.0
red by 1.6
3932
#11
43.10.8
41.442.2
Auto11.7
Teleop27.2
End4.2
Third
5816
#24
12.00.3
12.312.0
Auto6.1
Teleop6.1
End-0.2
blue by 18.7
744
#9
30.70.8
29.029.8
Auto2.3
Teleop26.1
End2.2