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Red70
159233.4
74317.6
999217.5
Blue111
8639.2
80132.8
2133.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47127010015020025030070111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+39
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave6
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +18
9Coral scored#14
33Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
47Total teleop65
Reef
4L4#9
3L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points0
70Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.3
33.233.4
Auto4.3
Teleop20.9
End8.3
blue by 5.7
86
#4
39.20.1
39.139.2
Auto9.0
Teleop22.7
End7.5
Second
9992
#10
17.50.4
17.117.5
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End0.2
blue by 16.0
21
#5
33.60.1
33.533.6
Auto7.9
Teleop17.9
End7.7
Third
7431
#23
7.60.3
7.47.6
Auto1.9
Teleop4.7
End1.0
blue by 25.2
801
#22
32.80.1
32.732.8
Auto7.5
Teleop23.9
End1.4