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Red165
7918.9
190244.7
5959.4
Blue123
38641.3
999518.1
527610.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14869050100200250300165123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+30Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +26
26Coral scored#21
95Coral points75
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
119Total teleop93
Reef
7L4#10
11L3#5
8L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
165Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#3
59.40.8
58.058.8
Auto6.8
Teleop43.7
End8.9
red by 18.1
386
#18
41.31.0
40.441.3
Auto9.0
Teleop27.7
End4.7
Second
44.70.8
43.344.1
Auto8.3
Teleop32.4
End4.0
red by 26.6
9995
#15
18.11.5
16.518.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.9
End3.2
Third
79
#19
18.90.8
17.518.3
Auto5.7
Teleop8.6
End4.6
red by 8.2
10.81.0
9.810.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End0.1