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Red163
190249.5
38648.9
618416.1
Blue114
10840.9
878824.5
23342.4
54%Model gave it46%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12111880100140160163114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+19Teleop
+35Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave6
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points24
22Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +27
21Coral scored#18
77Coral points66
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
111Total teleop84
Reef
12L4#6
5L3#8
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#27
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +49
14Foul points0
163Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.51.3
47.048.3
Auto8.3
Teleop34.1
End7.2
red by 7.1
233
#3
42.40.3
41.241.5
Auto8.3
Teleop32.2
End1.9
Second
386
#1
48.91.4
46.247.5
Auto8.7
Teleop31.9
End8.3
red by 8.0
108
#4
40.90.3
39.740.0
Auto12.7
Teleop26.6
End1.6
Third
6184
#15
16.11.3
13.614.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.6
End1.4
blue by 8.4
8788
#23
24.50.3
23.223.5
Auto4.8
Teleop18.2
End1.5