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Red12
7910.9
97205.2
94937.9
Blue16
136923.6
36277.6
750013.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3655020801001201401216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
0Teleop0
+2Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
0Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +6
2Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
6Total teleop0
Reef
1L4#0
1L3#1
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
2Game pieces#1
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
2Foul points8
12Total score16

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79
#21
10.92.8
13.610.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End1.5
blue by 12.7
1369
#11
23.64.5
17.012.5
Auto5.2
Teleop16.8
End1.6
Second
9493
#41
7.92.8
11.28.4
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End1.3
blue by 5.1
13.04.5
18.213.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.9
Third
9720
#29
5.22.8
10.37.6
Auto3.8
Teleop0.9
End0.5
blue by 2.4
3627
#40
7.64.5
13.18.6
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed