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Red22
940415.6
647315.9
63228.6
Blue60
10840.9
1015918.0
584219.0
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5481020401001201402260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+42
Endgame+40
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
3Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +32
2Coral scored#8
7Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
7Total teleop39
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#2
2Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
8Foul points6
22Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6473
#17
15.94.0
16.112.1
Auto2.3
Teleop12.2
End1.3
blue by 25.0
108
#4
40.91.7
27.125.5
Auto12.7
Teleop26.6
End1.6
Second
9404
#30
15.64.0
17.813.8
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
blue by 3.4
5842
#25
19.01.7
21.720.0
Auto4.2
Teleop14.5
End0.4
Third
6322
#22
8.64.0
15.811.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
blue by 9.4
18.01.7
20.318.7
Auto3.4
Teleop12.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned