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Red87
406541.3
96987.3
32429.6
Blue32
457615.7
877814.8
462217.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66602040801008732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+51Teleop
+57Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
6Leave0
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
23Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +28
11Coral scored#6
40Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
58Total teleop30
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#8
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points2
87Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.32.0
26.928.9
Auto14.5
Teleop23.8
End3.0
red by 23.8
4622
#24
17.53.9
18.714.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.8
End1.2
Second
3242
#26
9.62.0
11.113.1
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End1.9
blue by 6.1
4576
#34
15.73.9
20.316.4
Auto2.7
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Third
9698
#27
7.32.0
19.921.8
Auto2.7
Teleop3.7
End0.9
blue by 7.4
8778
#10
14.83.9
15.111.2
Auto6.1
Teleop6.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed