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Red139
38648.9
964235.1
8639.9
Blue53
878824.5
971110.2
1032320.4
95%Model gave it5%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10142020608012014016013953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+60Teleop
+70Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave9
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +39
16Coral scored#6
57Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
71Total teleop32
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#1
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
22Foul points6
139Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#1
48.92.8
30.333.0
Auto8.7
Teleop31.9
End8.3
red by 24.4
8788
#23
24.50.5
16.515.9
Auto4.8
Teleop18.2
End1.5
Second
86
#7
39.92.8
26.429.1
Auto8.8
Teleop23.9
End7.2
red by 19.4
20.40.5
12.812.3
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.6
Third
35.12.0
24.326.3
Auto8.8
Teleop23.9
End2.4
red by 24.9
9711
#37
10.20.5
11.310.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsEarned