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Red23
1017712.8
94937.9
136923.6
Blue91
7910.9
93007.0
190249.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32580501001502391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+56
Endgame+58
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +47
3Coral scored#11
11Coral points38
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
0Processor points12
0Net points8
0Algae points20
11Total teleop58
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
2Foul points12
23Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1369
#11
23.61.8
12.510.7
Auto5.2
Teleop16.8
End1.6
blue by 26.0
49.52.6
30.533.1
Auto8.3
Teleop34.1
End7.2
Second
12.81.8
10.89.1
Auto2.7
Teleop8.9
End1.2
red by 2.0
79
#21
10.92.6
10.813.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End1.5
Third
9493
#41
7.91.8
8.46.6
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End1.3
red by 0.9
9300
#36
7.02.6
8.310.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.9
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed