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Red62
1021921.0
35029.3
832421.6
Blue37
555723.2
255616.3
97205.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495801002003004005006006237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+9
Endgame+7
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +2
3Coral scored#3
12Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
6Processor points0
0Net points8
6Algae points8
18Total teleop20
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
32Foul points0
62Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8324
#14
21.61.8
23.922.1
Auto3.9
Teleop16.2
End1.5
blue by 1.6
5557
#19
23.21.7
25.824.1
Auto5.9
Teleop14.4
End2.8
Second
21.01.8
11.59.7
Auto2.7
Teleop16.9
End1.4
red by 4.7
2556
#38
16.31.7
16.114.4
Auto2.2
Teleop11.9
End2.2
Third
3502
#16
9.31.8
8.46.6
Auto2.1
Teleop6.4
End0.9
red by 4.2
9720
#29
5.21.7
7.65.8
Auto3.8
Teleop0.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed