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Red26
36277.6
417910.9
316415.2
Blue41
618416.1
584219.0
940415.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296102040801001202641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+17
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points1
6Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +13
4Coral scored#5
14Coral points17
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
14Total teleop27
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
26Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3164
#32
15.20.9
8.87.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End1.1
blue by 3.8
5842
#25
19.01.8
20.018.1
Auto4.2
Teleop14.5
End0.4
Second
4179
#35
10.90.9
11.710.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End1.9
blue by 5.2
6184
#15
16.11.8
17.816.0
Auto4.1
Teleop10.6
End1.4
Third
3627
#40
7.60.9
8.67.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
blue by 8.1
9404
#30
15.61.8
13.812.0
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed