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Red43
971110.2
32429.6
964235.1
Blue56
1015918.0
547238.6
647315.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5776020401001201404356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+5
Endgame+7
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +6
7Coral scored#4
24Coral points16
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
32Total teleop26
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points6
43Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.5
26.325.8
Auto8.8
Teleop23.9
End2.4
blue by 3.5
38.61.6
33.331.7
Auto10.1
Teleop25.2
End3.3
Second
9711
#37
10.20.8
10.710.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.0
blue by 7.8
18.01.6
18.717.1
Auto3.4
Teleop12.8
End1.8
Third
3242
#26
9.60.8
13.112.3
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End1.9
blue by 6.2
6473
#17
15.91.6
12.110.5
Auto2.3
Teleop12.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed