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Red28
750013.0
96274.5
877814.8
Blue98
10840.9
931312.4
1032320.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3762020801001202898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+48
Endgame+50
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points14
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +37
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
3Total teleop40
Reef
0L4#4
1L3#2
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
12Foul points32
28Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8778
#10
14.82.0
11.29.1
Auto6.1
Teleop6.6
End2.1
blue by 26.1
108
#4
40.91.6
25.527.1
Auto12.7
Teleop26.6
End1.6
Second
13.02.0
13.711.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.9
blue by 7.4
20.41.6
12.313.9
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.6
Third
9627
#42
4.52.0
9.37.2
Auto2.9
Teleop1.3
End0.3
blue by 7.8
9313
#20
12.41.6
13.515.2
Auto2.5
Teleop7.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned