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Red29
1021921.0
1017712.8
555723.2
Blue58
832421.6
584219.0
316415.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525210203040607080902958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+27
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +17
3Coral scored#6
9Coral points22
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
13Total teleop30
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
6Foul points6
29Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5557
#19
23.22.2
24.121.9
Auto5.9
Teleop14.4
End2.8
red by 1.6
8324
#14
21.60.4
22.122.5
Auto3.9
Teleop16.2
End1.5
Second
21.02.2
9.77.5
Auto2.7
Teleop16.9
End1.4
red by 2.0
5842
#25
19.00.4
18.118.6
Auto4.2
Teleop14.5
End0.4
Third
12.82.2
9.16.9
Auto2.7
Teleop8.9
End1.2
blue by 2.4
3164
#32
15.20.4
7.98.3
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed