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Red85
8639.9
10840.9
877814.8
Blue29
96274.5
32429.6
1016212.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions823302040601001201408529

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+44Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points7
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +34
10Coral scored#3
36Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
46Total teleop12
Reef
6L4#1
4L3#1
1L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#4
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
85Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
#4
40.91.9
27.129.0
Auto12.7
Teleop26.6
End1.6
red by 28.9
12.00.8
16.315.5
Auto3.3
Teleop8.3
End0.4
Second
86
#7
39.91.9
31.433.3
Auto8.8
Teleop23.9
End7.2
red by 30.2
3242
#26
9.60.8
12.311.5
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End1.9
Third
8778
#10
14.81.9
9.111.1
Auto6.1
Teleop6.6
End2.1
red by 10.2
9627
#42
4.50.8
7.26.5
Auto2.9
Teleop1.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed