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Red109
38648.9
136923.6
547238.6
Blue39
417910.9
527616.0
1015918.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9540020608012014016010939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+44Teleop
+58Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
11Coral points3
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +36
10Coral scored#4
37Coral points15
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
61Total teleop25
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#7
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
12Foul points0
109Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#1
48.91.3
37.338.6
Auto8.7
Teleop31.9
End8.3
red by 30.9
18.00.8
17.116.3
Auto3.4
Teleop12.8
End1.8
Second
38.61.3
31.733.0
Auto10.1
Teleop25.2
End3.3
red by 22.6
5276
#39
16.00.8
13.412.6
Auto3.4
Teleop11.0
End1.5
Third
1369
#11
23.61.3
10.712.0
Auto5.2
Teleop16.8
End1.6
red by 12.7
4179
#35
10.90.8
10.810.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed