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Red27
940415.6
35029.3
878824.5
Blue7
63228.6
96987.3
7910.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445402080100120140277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+14Teleop
+14Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +8
2Coral scored#0
8Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
8Total teleop0
Reef
1L4#0
1L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
2Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
6Foul points0
27Total score7

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8788
#23
24.51.8
18.216.5
Auto4.8
Teleop18.2
End1.5
red by 13.6
79
#21
10.94.2
13.49.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End1.5
Second
9404
#30
15.61.8
12.010.2
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
red by 7.0
6322
#22
8.64.2
14.110.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
Third
3502
#16
9.31.8
6.64.9
Auto2.1
Teleop6.4
End0.9
red by 2.0
9698
#27
7.34.2
17.012.8
Auto2.7
Teleop3.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed