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Red82
38648.9
1015918.0
32429.6
Blue67
96274.5
406541.3
23342.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747940601001208267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+1Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points14
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +5
8Coral scored#10
28Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
50Total teleop45
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#15
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
82Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#1
48.91.7
38.640.3
Auto8.7
Teleop31.9
End8.3
red by 6.5
233
#3
42.40.3
30.029.7
Auto8.3
Teleop32.2
End1.9
Second
18.01.7
16.318.0
Auto3.4
Teleop12.8
End1.8
blue by 23.3
41.30.3
33.232.9
Auto14.5
Teleop23.8
End3.0
Third
3242
#26
9.61.7
11.513.3
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End1.9
red by 5.1
9627
#42
4.50.3
6.56.2
Auto2.9
Teleop1.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsMissed