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Red75
8639.9
584219.0
1016212.0
Blue98
7910.9
136923.6
10840.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765202040601001207598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+43
Endgame+43
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave0
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points29
16Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +30
6Coral scored#10
21Coral points37
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
35Total teleop65
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
20Foul points0
75Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#7
39.92.0
33.331.3
Auto8.8
Teleop23.9
End7.2
blue by 1.0
108
#4
40.94.4
29.033.4
Auto12.7
Teleop26.6
End1.6
Second
5842
#25
19.02.0
18.616.5
Auto4.2
Teleop14.5
End0.4
blue by 4.6
1369
#11
23.64.4
12.016.3
Auto5.2
Teleop16.8
End1.6
Third
12.02.0
15.513.5
Auto3.3
Teleop8.3
End0.4
red by 1.1
79
#21
10.94.4
9.213.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed