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Red53
618416.1
63228.6
547238.6
Blue35
462217.5
832421.6
527616.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655502040801001205335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+16Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
1Coral points0
10Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
7Coral scored#5
25Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
37Total teleop22
Reef
4L4#1
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
53Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.5
33.032.5
Auto10.1
Teleop25.2
End3.3
red by 17.0
8324
#14
21.61.6
22.520.9
Auto3.9
Teleop16.2
End1.5
Second
6184
#15
16.10.5
14.313.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.6
End1.4
blue by 1.4
4622
#24
17.51.6
14.512.9
Auto3.5
Teleop12.8
End1.2
Third
6322
#22
8.60.5
10.09.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
blue by 7.4
5276
#39
16.01.6
12.611.0
Auto3.4
Teleop11.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed