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Red64
462217.5
878824.5
584219.0
Blue94
1017712.8
618416.1
10840.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51642040801001206494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+28
Endgame+32
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +17
7Coral scored#12
26Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
48Total teleop65
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
2Foul points0
64Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8788
#23
24.50.8
16.517.3
Auto4.8
Teleop18.2
End1.5
blue by 16.4
108
#4
40.93.6
33.436.9
Auto12.7
Teleop26.6
End1.6
Second
5842
#25
19.00.8
16.517.3
Auto4.2
Teleop14.5
End0.4
red by 3.0
6184
#15
16.13.6
13.817.4
Auto4.1
Teleop10.6
End1.4
Third
4622
#24
17.50.8
12.913.7
Auto3.5
Teleop12.8
End1.2
red by 4.7
12.83.6
6.910.4
Auto2.7
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed