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Red78
23342.4
36277.6
1015918.0
Blue93
547238.6
8639.9
316415.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5483020401001201407893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+3
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points18
16Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +8
10Coral scored#7
36Coral points26
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
58Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#2
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
78Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#3
42.42.8
29.732.5
Auto8.3
Teleop32.2
End1.9
red by 2.6
86
#7
39.92.3
31.333.6
Auto8.8
Teleop23.9
End7.2
Second
18.02.8
18.020.8
Auto3.4
Teleop12.8
End1.8
blue by 20.5
38.62.3
32.534.8
Auto10.1
Teleop25.2
End3.3
Third
3627
#40
7.62.8
5.38.0
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
blue by 7.7
3164
#32
15.22.3
8.310.6
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned