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Red48
1021921.0
136923.6
527616.0
Blue78
35029.3
647315.9
406541.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3660020801001204878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+28
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +21
8Coral scored#11
27Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
37Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
48Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1369
#11
23.61.4
16.317.8
Auto5.2
Teleop16.8
End1.6
blue by 17.7
41.32.9
32.935.8
Auto14.5
Teleop23.8
End3.0
Second
21.01.4
7.79.2
Auto2.7
Teleop16.9
End1.4
red by 5.2
6473
#17
15.92.9
14.417.3
Auto2.3
Teleop12.2
End1.3
Third
5276
#39
16.01.4
11.012.4
Auto3.4
Teleop11.0
End1.5
red by 6.7
3502
#16
9.32.9
4.97.7
Auto2.1
Teleop6.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed