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Red58
555723.2
940415.6
971110.2
Blue24
1016212.0
94937.9
457615.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51330204060801005824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+36Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +33
9Coral scored#2
31Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
45Total teleop12
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
58Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5557
#19
23.21.5
21.222.7
Auto5.9
Teleop14.4
End2.8
red by 7.5
4576
#34
15.71.3
15.314.0
Auto2.7
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Second
9404
#30
15.61.5
11.613.1
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
red by 3.6
12.01.3
13.512.2
Auto3.3
Teleop8.3
End0.4
Third
9711
#37
10.21.5
11.813.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.0
red by 2.3
9493
#41
7.91.3
3.52.3
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed