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Red36
96987.3
190249.5
96274.5
Blue69
255616.3
38648.9
750013.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6177020401001201403669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+27
Endgame+37
Fouls+33
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +30
4Coral scored#10
15Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
19Total teleop49
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
4Foul points0
36Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.53.0
39.536.5
Auto8.3
Teleop34.1
End7.2
red by 0.6
386
#1
48.90.1
40.340.2
Auto8.7
Teleop31.9
End8.3
Second
9698
#27
7.33.0
10.67.6
Auto2.7
Teleop3.7
End0.9
blue by 9.0
2556
#38
16.30.1
14.314.2
Auto2.2
Teleop11.9
End2.2
Third
9627
#42
4.53.0
6.23.2
Auto2.9
Teleop1.3
End0.3
blue by 8.5
13.00.1
12.412.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned