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Red64
647315.9
462217.5
1017712.8
Blue147
23342.4
1021921.0
8639.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3988020608010012014064147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+71
Endgame+83
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +64
9Coral scored#21
31Coral points75
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
12Processor points12
8Net points28
20Algae points40
51Total teleop115
Reef
3L4#8
4L3#9
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +83
0Foul points0
64Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4622
#24
17.50.9
13.714.6
Auto3.5
Teleop12.8
End1.2
blue by 24.9
233
#3
42.46.4
32.538.9
Auto8.3
Teleop32.2
End1.9
Second
6473
#17
15.90.9
17.318.2
Auto2.3
Teleop12.2
End1.3
blue by 24.0
86
#7
39.96.4
33.640.0
Auto8.8
Teleop23.9
End7.2
Third
12.80.9
10.411.4
Auto2.7
Teleop8.9
End1.2
blue by 8.2
21.06.4
9.215.6
Auto2.7
Teleop16.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned