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Red108
964235.1
877814.8
406541.3
Blue17
36277.6
35029.3
97205.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951102040608012014016010817

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+81Teleop
+85Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
9Leave9
7Coral scored#0
35Coral points0
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +46
12Coral scored#2
42Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
52Total teleop6
Reef
6L4#1
7L3#1
3L2#0
3L1 · trough#0
21Game pieces#2
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +91
6Foul points0
108Total score17

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.31.8
35.837.6
Auto14.5
Teleop23.8
End3.0
red by 32.0
3502
#16
9.30.6
7.77.1
Auto2.1
Teleop6.4
End0.9
Second
35.11.1
29.030.1
Auto8.8
Teleop23.9
End2.4
red by 27.5
3627
#40
7.60.6
8.07.5
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
Third
8778
#10
14.81.8
12.514.3
Auto6.1
Teleop6.6
End2.1
red by 9.6
9720
#29
5.20.6
3.52.9
Auto3.8
Teleop0.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed