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Red10
971110.2
750013.0
618416.1
Blue79
940415.6
58725.8
38648.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446902060801001201079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+59
Endgame+69
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +52
0Coral scored#12
0Coral points42
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
0Total teleop52
Reef
0L4#5
1L3#3
0L2#4
0L1 · trough#2
1Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
0Foul points0
10Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6184
#15
16.13.7
17.413.7
Auto4.1
Teleop10.6
End1.4
blue by 32.8
386
#1
48.92.0
40.242.2
Auto8.7
Teleop31.9
End8.3
Second
13.03.7
12.38.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.9
blue by 2.6
9404
#30
15.62.0
13.115.1
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Third
9711
#37
10.23.7
13.29.6
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.0
red by 4.4
5872
#28
5.82.0
7.89.8
Auto3.1
Teleop1.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned