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Red50
94937.9
63228.6
832421.6
Blue20
527616.0
96274.5
7910.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34280204060805020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+32Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
8Coral scored#1
27Coral points5
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
37Total teleop5
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#0
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
50Total score20

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8324
#14
21.61.7
20.322.0
Auto3.9
Teleop16.2
End1.5
red by 5.6
5276
#39
16.00.8
12.411.7
Auto3.4
Teleop11.0
End1.5
Second
6322
#22
8.61.7
9.010.7
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
blue by 2.3
79
#21
10.90.8
11.210.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End1.5
Third
9493
#41
7.91.7
2.34.0
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End1.3
red by 3.4
9627
#42
4.50.8
3.22.4
Auto2.9
Teleop1.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed