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Red96
255616.3
190249.5
417910.9
Blue75
136923.6
1032320.4
1016212.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70530204060801001209675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+3Teleop
+15Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
12Coral scored#11
43Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
61Total teleop64
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
6Foul points0
96Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.51.4
36.537.9
Auto8.3
Teleop34.1
End7.2
red by 26.0
1369
#11
23.60.6
17.818.3
Auto5.2
Teleop16.8
End1.6
Second
2556
#38
16.31.4
14.215.6
Auto2.2
Teleop11.9
End2.2
blue by 4.1
20.40.6
17.618.2
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.6
Third
4179
#35
10.91.4
8.710.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End1.9
blue by 1.2
12.00.6
12.212.8
Auto3.3
Teleop8.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed