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Red57
96987.3
878824.5
931312.4
Blue69
584219.0
555723.2
32429.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3962020801005769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +7
9Coral scored#9
33Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
43Total teleop50
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
2Foul points0
57Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8788
#23
24.50.0
17.317.3
Auto4.8
Teleop18.2
End1.5
red by 1.3
5557
#19
23.20.1
22.722.6
Auto5.9
Teleop14.4
End2.8
Second
9313
#20
12.40.0
9.99.9
Auto2.5
Teleop7.9
End1.9
blue by 6.6
5842
#25
19.00.1
17.317.2
Auto4.2
Teleop14.5
End0.4
Third
9698
#27
7.30.0
7.67.6
Auto2.7
Teleop3.7
End0.9
blue by 2.3
3242
#26
9.60.1
10.910.8
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed