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Red74
1016212.0
23342.4
877814.8
Blue22
58725.8
584219.0
94937.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676630405060707422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+34Teleop
+30Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +30
6Coral scored#2
23Coral points7
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
37Total teleop7
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
22Foul points0
74Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#3
42.40.7
25.124.3
Auto8.3
Teleop32.2
End1.9
red by 23.4
5842
#25
19.04.0
25.721.7
Auto4.2
Teleop14.5
End0.4
Second
8778
#10
14.80.7
15.815.1
Auto6.1
Teleop6.6
End2.1
red by 6.8
9493
#41
7.94.0
15.211.2
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End1.3
Third
12.05.1
12.017.1
Auto3.3
Teleop8.3
End0.4
red by 6.2
5872
#28
5.84.0
17.213.2
Auto3.1
Teleop1.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed