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Red68
832421.6
964235.1
878824.5
Blue64
940415.6
417910.9
8639.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77672040601001206864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+12Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
11Coral scored#9
38Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
52Total teleop43
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
68Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.11.2
25.524.3
Auto8.8
Teleop23.9
End2.4
blue by 4.8
86
#7
39.90.5
26.926.4
Auto8.8
Teleop23.9
End7.2
Second
8788
#23
24.51.5
18.016.5
Auto4.8
Teleop18.2
End1.5
red by 8.9
9404
#30
15.60.5
18.317.8
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Third
8324
#14
21.61.5
22.921.4
Auto3.9
Teleop16.2
End1.5
red by 10.7
4179
#35
10.90.5
14.413.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed