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Red40
647315.9
10840.9
971110.2
Blue105
96987.3
38648.9
462217.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions746940608010012040105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+41
Endgame+51
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +38
4Coral scored#10
15Coral points35
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
6Processor points12
0Net points12
6Algae points24
21Total teleop59
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points14
40Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
#4
40.93.3
30.427.1
Auto12.7
Teleop26.6
End1.6
blue by 8.0
386
#1
48.92.7
27.630.3
Auto8.7
Teleop31.9
End8.3
Second
6473
#17
15.93.3
19.416.1
Auto2.3
Teleop12.2
End1.3
blue by 1.7
4622
#24
17.52.7
16.018.7
Auto3.5
Teleop12.8
End1.2
Third
9711
#37
10.23.3
14.611.3
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.0
red by 2.9
9698
#27
7.32.7
17.219.9
Auto2.7
Teleop3.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned