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Red25
931312.4
35029.3
255616.3
Blue48
1017712.8
93007.0
547238.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526602040801001201401602548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+23
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +20
3Coral scored#7
10Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
18Total teleop38
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
25Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2556
#38
16.33.2
19.316.1
Auto2.2
Teleop11.9
End2.2
blue by 22.3
38.61.6
34.933.3
Auto10.1
Teleop25.2
End3.3
Second
9313
#20
12.43.2
16.713.5
Auto2.5
Teleop7.9
End1.9
blue by 0.4
12.81.6
12.410.8
Auto2.7
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Third
3502
#16
9.33.2
11.68.4
Auto2.1
Teleop6.4
End0.9
red by 2.3
9300
#36
7.01.6
9.98.3
Auto2.1
Teleop4.9
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed