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Red66
316415.2
940415.6
462217.5
Blue84
877814.8
38648.9
35029.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4176020601001201406684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+6
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +1
10Coral scored#11
37Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
55Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#6
2L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
66Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4622
#24
17.51.7
14.616.3
Auto3.5
Teleop12.8
End1.2
blue by 31.4
386
#1
48.90.9
42.243.2
Auto8.7
Teleop31.9
End8.3
Second
9404
#30
15.61.7
15.116.8
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
red by 0.9
8778
#10
14.80.9
14.315.3
Auto6.1
Teleop6.6
End2.1
Third
3164
#32
15.21.8
8.710.5
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End1.1
red by 5.9
3502
#16
9.31.0
7.18.2
Auto2.1
Teleop6.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned