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Red58
23342.4
7910.9
647315.9
Blue36
93007.0
832421.6
618416.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8247020601001201401605836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +13
8Coral scored#5
28Coral points17
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
0Processor points6
8Net points0
8Algae points6
36Total teleop23
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
2Foul points0
58Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#3
42.41.5
38.937.4
Auto8.3
Teleop32.2
End1.9
red by 20.8
8324
#14
21.61.2
22.020.8
Auto3.9
Teleop16.2
End1.5
Second
6473
#17
15.91.5
18.216.7
Auto2.3
Teleop12.2
End1.3
blue by 0.2
6184
#15
16.11.2
13.712.6
Auto4.1
Teleop10.6
End1.4
Third
79
#21
10.91.5
10.48.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End1.5
red by 3.9
9300
#36
7.01.2
8.97.7
Auto2.1
Teleop4.9
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed