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Red68
94937.9
547238.6
96274.5
Blue129
190249.5
878824.5
136923.6
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4695020608012014016068129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+43
Endgame+53
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave0
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points21
20Total auto21
TeleoperatedBlue +42
9Coral scored#12
32Coral points42
0Processor algae#4
3Net algae#5
0Processor points24
12Net points20
12Algae points44
44Total teleop86
Reef
4L4#8
5L3#3
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points8
68Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.62.2
34.837.1
Auto10.1
Teleop25.2
End3.3
blue by 11.0
49.54.3
37.942.2
Auto8.3
Teleop34.1
End7.2
Second
9493
#41
7.92.2
4.06.2
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End1.3
blue by 16.6
8788
#23
24.54.3
17.021.3
Auto4.8
Teleop18.2
End1.5
Third
9627
#42
4.52.2
2.44.6
Auto2.9
Teleop1.3
End0.3
blue by 19.0
1369
#11
23.64.3
18.322.7
Auto5.2
Teleop16.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned