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Red21
417910.9
971110.2
58725.8
Blue50
555723.2
931312.4
63228.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32520204060801002150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+31
Endgame+31
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +27
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points19
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
0Total teleop27
Reef
1L4#3
0L3#2
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
8Foul points6
21Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4179
#35
10.91.7
10.18.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End1.9
blue by 12.3
5557
#19
23.20.1
22.622.7
Auto5.9
Teleop14.4
End2.8
Second
9711
#37
10.21.7
9.67.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.0
blue by 2.2
9313
#20
12.40.1
9.910.0
Auto2.5
Teleop7.9
End1.9
Third
5872
#28
5.81.7
9.57.8
Auto3.1
Teleop1.5
End1.1
blue by 2.8
6322
#22
8.60.1
10.710.8
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed