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Red27
584219.0
36277.6
96987.3
Blue61
1032320.4
32429.6
527616.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405402060801001202761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+26
Endgame+32
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +23
5Coral scored#9
17Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
21Total teleop44
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points2
27Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5842
#25
19.00.8
17.216.4
Auto4.2
Teleop14.5
End0.4
blue by 1.4
20.41.0
18.219.1
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.6
Second
3627
#40
7.60.8
7.26.4
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
blue by 8.4
5276
#39
16.01.0
11.712.6
Auto3.4
Teleop11.0
End1.5
Third
9698
#27
7.30.8
7.66.8
Auto2.7
Teleop3.7
End0.9
blue by 2.3
3242
#26
9.61.0
10.811.8
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed