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Red55
618416.1
8639.9
35029.3
Blue50
647315.9
877814.8
832421.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755920401001201405550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+9Teleop
+11Endgame
+5Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
8Coral scored#8
30Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
40Total teleop31
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points6
55Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#7
39.90.7
40.239.5
Auto8.8
Teleop23.9
End7.2
red by 18.3
8324
#14
21.60.8
20.820.0
Auto3.9
Teleop16.2
End1.5
Second
6184
#15
16.10.7
12.611.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.6
End1.4
red by 0.2
6473
#17
15.90.8
16.715.9
Auto2.3
Teleop12.2
End1.3
Third
3502
#16
9.30.7
9.89.1
Auto2.1
Teleop6.4
End0.9
blue by 5.4
8778
#10
14.80.8
15.314.4
Auto6.1
Teleop6.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed