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Red62
750013.0
10840.9
93007.0
Blue56
255616.3
940415.6
1017712.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68490204060801001201406256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+6Teleop
+4Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave3
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points3
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +7
8Coral scored#7
29Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
39Total teleop46
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#2
4L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
2Foul points0
62Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
#4
40.90.7
38.738.0
Auto12.7
Teleop26.6
End1.6
red by 24.6
2556
#38
16.30.4
14.914.5
Auto2.2
Teleop11.9
End2.2
Second
13.00.7
12.211.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.9
blue by 2.6
9404
#30
15.60.4
16.816.4
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Third
9300
#36
7.00.7
7.77.0
Auto2.1
Teleop4.9
End0.0
blue by 5.8
12.80.4
13.212.8
Auto2.7
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned10%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed