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Red81
584219.0
527616.0
971110.2
Blue135
190249.5
1032320.4
23342.4
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3612405010015020081135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+42
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +36
13Coral scored#18
48Coral points66
2Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
12Processor points18
4Net points16
16Algae points34
64Total teleop100
Reef
5L4#9
3L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
6Foul points6
81Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5842
#25
19.02.3
16.418.7
Auto4.2
Teleop14.5
End0.4
blue by 30.5
49.52.0
42.244.3
Auto8.3
Teleop34.1
End7.2
Second
5276
#39
16.02.3
12.614.9
Auto3.4
Teleop11.0
End1.5
blue by 26.4
233
#3
42.42.0
37.439.5
Auto8.3
Teleop32.2
End1.9
Third
9711
#37
10.22.3
7.910.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.0
blue by 10.2
20.42.0
19.121.2
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned