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Red172
248658.9
364624.4
552646.6
Blue191
18083.7
17974.5
541024.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12919550100150250300172191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+29
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave3
6Coral scored#12
28Coral points62
37Total auto65
TeleoperatedBlue +1
23Coral scored#28
83Coral points102
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
18Processor points12
20Net points8
38Algae points20
121Total teleop122
Reef
9L4#15
11L3#11
5L2#8
4L1 · trough#6
37Game pieces#44
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
172Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#12
58.91.0
58.459.4
Auto14.3
Teleop35.0
End9.6
blue by 24.8
180
#1
83.70.2
83.683.8
Auto17.9
Teleop57.7
End8.1
Second
46.61.0
46.147.1
Auto8.6
Teleop36.2
End1.7
blue by 27.9
179
#2
74.50.2
74.374.5
Auto14.8
Teleop53.2
End6.4
Third
3646
#28
24.41.0
23.924.9
Auto4.2
Teleop17.9
End2.3
Level
5410
#20
24.40.2
24.324.5
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End2.4